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Since Sunday night Federico Fico Gutierrez , the Colombian presidential candidate has been the most powerful. This isn’t his first time appearing on an electoral card. He was previously councilor and mayor in Medellin. The first time he was tested in national elections in which he got more than two millions votes from the Team for Colombia coalition, was that he was deemed the preferred candidate of conservative movements. Fico (47 years old) is currently the primary opponent to Gustavo Petro. His victory with the Historic Pact movement made him one of the most well-known politicians in Colombia.

The presidential campaign is only beginning , and whether the former mayor of Medellin manages to be the real counterweight to petrismo is contingent on the alliances and negotiations which he will be able to forge from the moment on. will not only have to unite all of the right under his name and name, but also to conquer a part of the electorate of the center, which has been depressed and lacking a strong leadership. He must keep his distance from the previous president Alvaro Urbine, something was not the case in the past. Today, for the first time in the past 20 years, the public support of uribism, instead of adding, can reduce. “Federico Gutierrez faces a dilemma. He must form an alliance with the Democratic Center (CD) – Uribe’s party . But at , he will have to persuade the center that it will have to decide where it is heading,” says Yann Basset an analyst and professor at the University of Rosario.

Fico that is a coalition partner with the CD where uribism is concentrated has made its first conquest on the way to an alliance. Oscar Ivan Zuluaga the former presidential candidate decided to retire, acknowledged the few alternatives available to compete with him and offered his support. We now need to see if the entire Uribismo collective who is without a representation, does the same. Uribe could be seen openly supporting the cause and trying to convince his voters that he supports the Colombian right. Already, his address about “security” as well as “order” and “opportunities” of our country has shown that Uribe is adding votes. He confirmed this with the consultation on elections, as previously in the Antioquia mayor’s office. “The bandits in jail or in graves”” he said recently during a trip to Arauca which is one of the areas that is particularly targeted by violence. Fico understands well the Colombian legal system, but this is not enough.

Basset said that “We’re not in 2018, when the fear generated by the left had worked,” and that the electorate has not been moved by fear this time around. Basset argues that Fico may not be able to get Uribe’s approval because Alvaro Uribe no longer holds the title of absolute leader since 2002, the year that the nation chose him as president. While Uribismo is below the table, it does not necessarily mean that Gutierrez isn’t able to count on the votes of Uribismo. Uribism contributed to the victory of the coalition. The ability of his negotiator will be measured: to convince the right but not to invest everything to build that alliance,” Basset warns. On this relationship between former President Uribe and Fico the analyst Andres Mejia Vergnaud explains “the great difficulty of Federico Gutierrez is that he wants the votes of Uribismo, but without the photo with Uribe as it doesn’t fit him as a candidate”.

On the left, there is only one leader, Gustavo Petro, on the right, there’s an individual who is heading to the presidential race in the event that Fico is able to negotiate, or should he be able to convince him to resign and support him. Rodolfo Hernández, an independent, is still running. Gutierrez must include former Bucaramanga mayor, a millionaire and builder on his list of accomplishments should he wish to end petrismo.

Gutierrez has a lot more to negotiate before even considering names for his presidential formula. But Gutierrez has the support of other candidates for the Team for Colombia leadership. It’s not a small number of people. Two former mayors, Enrique Penalosa in Bogota and Alex Char in Barranquilla, are with him; David Barguil is the leader of the Conservative party. Aydee Lizarazo is a Christian party member who is able to vote according to the instructions of her church’s lectern.

The Conservative Party has been strengthened and has received the most votes from right-wing parties with more than 2 million votes. Additionally the U Party has shown sympathy for the Conservative Party. They also have a strong election, with less than one million votes in the legislative. The support of Oscar Ivan Zuluaga, who has not allowed a lot of time to go by after the elections on Sunday and apologize for his loss in the event of a potential confrontation with the right-wing votes, will give Fico a new push in the conservative wing and swayed Fico from possible votes from the middle. The declaration of Alvaro Uribe, the former President, who summoned his party to meet on Tuesday, will decide if Fico is willing to sacrifice his chances in the center to openly proclaim himself to be the blessed Uribe.