Auto Draft

Federico Fico Gutierrez has been the most stable presidential candidate of the Colombian right since Sunday night. This isn’t the first time his name appears on an election ballot. In fact, he was both the councilor and mayor of Medellin. This was his first national election. The Team for Colombia coalition won more than two-million votes. They believe he could be a candidate of the conservative movements. Fico (Medellin, 47 years old), as he is popularly known, is, since last night and currently the most prominent adversary of Gustavo Petro, who with the Historic Pact movement was one of the winners of the election day that defined who will be the representatives of the three most important political forces. has just started. If Medellin’s former city mayor can be the true opposition to petrismo is dependent on the alliances create and the discussions that he holds. He’ll need to not just unite the whole right but also conquer only a tiny portion of the centre electorate that has been shattered on Sunday. In order to do that it will be necessary to continue avoiding, as he has done to date by not appearing in the same photograph with the former president Alvaro Uribe. The current open acceptance of uribism is a first in 20 years. Instead of adding, it might subtract. “Federico Gutierrez faces a dilemma. He must form an alliance with Uribe’s Democratic Center (CD), but he also has to convince Uribe’s centre.

Fico, which is in coalition with the CD where uribism is the main focus, has had its first victory on the road to an alliance. Oscar Ivan Zuluaga who was an aspirant to the presidency, stepped aside to acknowledge his few opportunities to compete with him. It will be interesting to check to see if the Uribismo group that was without a spokesperson until Monday, will offer support. Uribe is likely to publicly support his candidate and convince his electorate by presenting the classic issues of the Colombian left. This shouldn’t be a problem for Uribe. His remarks of “security”, “order”, “opportunities” and “love of the fatherland” already showed him that he has the ability to increase votes. This Sunday, he verified it at the electoral consultation. This was done before when he was in Antioquia as the city’s mayor. He claimed, “The bandits were either dead or in prison,” while he was visiting Arauca which is a region which is particularly susceptible to violence. Fico is very conscious of the Colombian right’s preferences but that doesn’t suffice for Fico.

Basset says that we are not in 2018 when the fear of a left-wing government has worked as well. “This time, the electorate does not have the fear.” According to the analyst, the fact that the image of Alvaro Uribe is no longer the leader with absolute power that the nation had in 2002 the time he was elected president for the first time, and that his own party, the CD, is going through a bad moment which could result in Fico be unable to receive at the very least, Uribe’s support. The votes of Uribismo remain important to Gutierrez. Uribism also contributed to this victory. Basset warns “Now his ability as an negotiator [winning in the coalition] will be judged in the ability to convince the right and not to invest all on that alliance.” In relation to this alliance between the former president and Fico, the expert Andres Mejia Vergnaud says “the biggest problem for Federico Gutierrez is that he is seeking the votes of Uribismo but not the picture with Uribe as it doesn’t fit him as a candidate”.

Gustavo Petro (left) is the only leader. Gustavo Petro (right) remains the one who is looking to win the presidency unless Fico (if he negotiates – persuades Fico to let him go and offer him his backing. Rodolfo Hernández, who was independent, is running. Gutierrez must include the former Bucaramanga mayor, a millionaire and builder on his list of achievements if he wishes to end the petrismo.

Gutierrez will have a lot to talk about before thinking about possible presidential formula names. However the one thing Gutierrez does have is the trust and cooperation of the other candidates in the Team for Colombia presidency. isn’t a small sum. He has two former mayors Enrique Penalosa (Bogota), Alex Char (Barranquilla) as his companions. David Barguil (leader of the Conservative Party); and Aydee Zarazo (a Christian party member who follows church rules.

Alongside the strengthened Conservative Party – it achieved the most votes of the right-wing forces for Congress with over two million votes – it is also backed by the U Party, which also had an outstanding vote in the legislative , with less than a million votes. Oscar Ivan Zuluaga’s support who didn’t let Sunday’s election be lost, in order to take his defeat before a potential confrontation for votes of the right, gives Fico the boost he needs in a section of conservatism however, it also impedes his possible votes from within the middle. The announcement of Alvaro Uribe, the former president, who called his party for a meeting Tuesday, will establish if Fico will be willing to give up his chances in the center to become the openly blessed Uribe.